The Cleveland Cavaliers (39-30) host there Denver Nuggets (42-28) Friday at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse for a 7:30 PM ET tip-off. Below we look at the Nuggets vs. Cavaliers Chance and Linnenand make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
Denver won rematch street games – 114-110 at the Philadelphia 76ers Monday and 127-109 at the Washington Wizards Wednesday. The Nuggets have been 6-2 straight up (SU) and 4-4 against the spread (ATS) in the last two weeks.
Cleveland has lost 3 of its last 4 games, which includes a 118-114 defeat at home to the Sixers, hitting the 4-point home underdogs. The Cavs are 3-4 SU, but 4-2-1 ATS in the last 14 days.
The Cavs clobbered the Nuggets 99-87 in Cleveland on Oct. 25, outscoring Denver in 3 of 4 quarters and exceeding it in all “four factors.”
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Nuggets on Cavaliers Chance, Spread and Lines
Chance is provided by Tipico Sportsbook; Access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Chance Hub for a complete list. Lines last updated at 13:36 ET.
Suen Linn (ML): Nuggets -155 (bets $ 155 they won $ 100) | Cavaliers +122 (bet $ 100 to win $ 122)
Against the spread: Nuggets -2.5 (-120) | Cavaliers +2.5 (-105)
Over / Under (O / U): 224.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
Nuggets in Cavaliers Key Injuries
Nuggets
PG Jamal Murray (Knee) out PF Michael Porter Jr. (back) out
Cavaliers
C Jarrett Allen (Fanger) eraus F Dean Wade (Knees) out
Nuggets at Cavaliers Chances, Lines, Choices and Forecasts
Predict
Nuggets 116, Cavaliers 110
Suen Linn
BET the NUGGETS (-155) because these teams are much different compared to when they met earlier this season.
For example, the Cavaliers were much healthier with an injured Allen and SG Collin Sexton both in the top 5 and former backup satellite PG Ricky Rubio was Cleveland well minutes before his season-ending injury.
On the other hand, the Nuggets 12 players are missing over .500 despite missing two key contributions Nikola Jokic increased its production and use throughout the season.
Jokic was even more dominant this season than last year when he won the MVP. He could really own the colors in this matchup because Cleveland is without Allen and Mobley is still a rookie.
In addition, the Denver winning probability based on the money line is 60.8% and the Nuggets are 12-4 SU as a road favorite, while the Cavs are 3-9 SU as home underdogs.
The bottom line is the NUGGETS (-155) win this game more than 61% of the time.
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Against the spread
LEAN to the NUGGETS -2.5 (120) because she should win by margin, but I prefer Denver Money Line (ML).
Even the nuggets percolate and the Cavs fight. According to CleaningTheGlass.com, Denver has a plus-5.5 adjusted net rating (ranking 10th) over the past two weeks, while Cleveland has a minus-2.0 adjusted net rating (ranking 17th).
Denver’s ML is my favorite bet in this game though NUGGETS -2.5 (-120) is the right side here.
Over / Under
PASS because I prefer to go over 224.5 (-115) since the first Nuggets-Cavaliers meet below the total of 34.5 points.
However, a large majority of the market supports the Over, which totals a 221-point look-ahead line, according to Pregame.com.
Since we would get the worst of the number and chase the hearth, I had no choice but to PASS.
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