{"id":16886,"date":"2022-03-27T10:24:07","date_gmt":"2022-03-27T10:24:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/2022\/03\/27\/betting-preview-for-cbi-championship-game\/"},"modified":"2022-03-27T10:24:07","modified_gmt":"2022-03-27T10:24:07","slug":"betting-preview-for-cbi-championship-game","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/2022\/03\/27\/betting-preview-for-cbi-championship-game\/","title":{"rendered":"Betting preview for CBI Championship game"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Middle Tennessee vs. UNC Wilmington Chance<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Even if it’s not the NIT or the NCAA tournament, the CBI is still thrilled, especially from the perspective of a bettor.<\/p>\n

The finals will feature two teams that have surpassed this season. While both wished they were in the Big Dance, a CBI title would be a perfect way to end their campaigns.<\/p>\n

So, which team has the value?<\/p>\n

\n

The Blue Raiders were a cover machine this season.<\/p>\n

At 25-7-1 ATS, MTSU was the best ATS team in the country. It covered 78.1% of the time, with a full 5.2-point average coverage margin.<\/p>\n

This team is a buzzsaw.<\/p>\n

Central Tennessee was chaotic on defense, but it was similarly chaotic on offense. The Blue Raiders were first in the C-USA in defensive turnover rate, but also ranked 11th in the C-USA in offensive turnover rate.<\/p>\n

But the Blue Raiders can attack the rim. They finished one of the top-50 teams nationally in efficiency on the rim, and they finished top-75 in 2-point shooting (52.4%).<\/p>\n

The biggest matchup here is MTSU’s 3-point rate against UNCW’s 3-point defense. MTSU scores 3s at the 63rd highest national rate (42.7% 3PA \/ FGA), while UNCW scores the 33rd lowest 3-point rate nationally (32.7% 3PA \/ FGA).<\/p>\n

Central Tennessee is not ultra-efficient from above the arc, but UNCW is not ultra-efficient for defending the 3-point arc. The Seahawks are top-90 nationally in defense of catch-and-shoot 3-point opportunities, but MTSU trends toward isolation, off-the-dribble 3s, where UNCW is sub-250 in defensive efficiency.<\/p>\n

After the CAA collapsed, the Seahawks had to disappointingly accept an offer to the CBI.<\/p>\n

But the Hawks have proven their worth. They dominated VMI, beating No. 1 seed Drake and then beat Northern Colorado, 80-64, after finishing as 2.5-point favorites.<\/p>\n

It was a solid end to an anticlimactic season, but the Hawks want the CBI title to send them into the offseason.<\/p>\n

Nobody likes isolation more than UNCW. The Seahawks run ISO on the 11th.<\/p>\n

While the shots usually did not fall for the Hawks (ninth in the CAA and eFG%), they always got a try because they took care of the ball (first in the CAA in offensive turnover).<\/p>\n

UNCW also turned its opponents around a lot. UNCW finished second in the CAA in sales margin at +3.35, just behind Hofstra at +4.38.<\/p>\n

Image credit: CBB Analytics<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

In addition, the Seahawks were also not good at defending shots. But UNCW is due to end a ton of negative shooting regression on that end. Its 38 3P% allowance was dead last in the CAA, but ShotQuality projects that number should have been closer to 33%.<\/p>\n

\n

Middle Tennessee vs UNC Wilmington betting pick<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Central Tennessee has covered nearly 80% of the players they have played this season.<\/p>\n

I am willing to trust the Blue Raiders once again, especially since they are national top-70 in terms of efficiency in defending isolation opportunities.<\/p>\n

The Blue Raiders are undersized in the interior, but their wings can defend the middle range just like anyone in the CBI.<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, Middle Tennessee is looking to shoot often 3s off-the-dribble. UNCW was 259th and efficiently defended off-the-dribble 3s this season, so expect MTSU to get away with that.<\/p>\n

Finally, MTSU is one of the better free-kick teams in the nation. So if this game goes late on free kicks, I rely on the Blue Raiders to make those shots and cut along the 4.5-point spread.<\/p>\n

I support the Blue Raiders down to -5.<\/p>\n

Select: Middle Tennessee -4.5 (Play up to -5)<\/mark><\/strong><\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n

How would you rate this article?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Middle Tennessee vs. UNC Wilmington Chance Even if it’s not the NIT or the NCAA tournament, the CBI is still thrilled, especially from the perspective of a bettor. The finals will feature two teams that have surpassed this season. While both wished they were in the Big Dance, a CBI title would be a perfect […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":16887,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[57],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16886","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-trends"],"yoast_head":"\nBetting preview for CBI Championship game - Tahrir News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/2022\/03\/27\/betting-preview-for-cbi-championship-game\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Betting preview for CBI Championship game\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Middle Tennessee vs. UNC Wilmington Chance Even if it’s not the NIT or the NCAA tournament, the CBI is still thrilled, especially from the perspective of a bettor. The finals will feature two teams that have surpassed this season. While both wished they were in the Big Dance, a CBI title would be a perfect […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/2022\/03\/27\/betting-preview-for-cbi-championship-game\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Tahrir News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-03-27T10:24:07+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/\",\"name\":\"Tahrir News\",\"description\":\"News all over the world\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/2022\/03\/27\/betting-preview-for-cbi-championship-game\/#primaryimage\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/UNCW.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/UNCW.jpg\",\"width\":1280,\"height\":720},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/2022\/03\/27\/betting-preview-for-cbi-championship-game\/#webpage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/2022\/03\/27\/betting-preview-for-cbi-championship-game\/\",\"name\":\"Betting preview for CBI Championship game - Tahrir News\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/2022\/03\/27\/betting-preview-for-cbi-championship-game\/#primaryimage\"},\"datePublished\":\"2022-03-27T10:24:07+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-03-27T10:24:07+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/#\/schema\/person\/5eb9492fbc67154812b39589e826b6e4\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/2022\/03\/27\/betting-preview-for-cbi-championship-game\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/2022\/03\/27\/betting-preview-for-cbi-championship-game\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/2022\/03\/27\/betting-preview-for-cbi-championship-game\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Trends\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/category\/trends\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":3,\"name\":\"Betting preview for CBI Championship game\"}]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/#\/schema\/person\/5eb9492fbc67154812b39589e826b6e4\",\"name\":\"megahed\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/#personlogo\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/0ee3294b28670178246ce92a6679bf959bc435d2fcd9cb9ab078702487c106df?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/0ee3294b28670178246ce92a6679bf959bc435d2fcd9cb9ab078702487c106df?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"megahed\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\"]}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO Premium plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Betting preview for CBI Championship game - Tahrir News","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/2022\/03\/27\/betting-preview-for-cbi-championship-game\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Betting preview for CBI Championship game","og_description":"Middle Tennessee vs. UNC Wilmington Chance Even if it’s not the NIT or the NCAA tournament, the CBI is still thrilled, especially from the perspective of a bettor. The finals will feature two teams that have surpassed this season. While both wished they were in the Big Dance, a CBI title would be a perfect […]","og_url":"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/2022\/03\/27\/betting-preview-for-cbi-championship-game\/","og_site_name":"Tahrir News","article_published_time":"2022-03-27T10:24:07+00:00","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/#website","url":"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/","name":"Tahrir News","description":"News all over the world","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"ImageObject","@id":"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/2022\/03\/27\/betting-preview-for-cbi-championship-game\/#primaryimage","inLanguage":"en-US","url":"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/UNCW.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/UNCW.jpg","width":1280,"height":720},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/2022\/03\/27\/betting-preview-for-cbi-championship-game\/#webpage","url":"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/2022\/03\/27\/betting-preview-for-cbi-championship-game\/","name":"Betting preview for CBI Championship game - Tahrir News","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/2022\/03\/27\/betting-preview-for-cbi-championship-game\/#primaryimage"},"datePublished":"2022-03-27T10:24:07+00:00","dateModified":"2022-03-27T10:24:07+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/#\/schema\/person\/5eb9492fbc67154812b39589e826b6e4"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/2022\/03\/27\/betting-preview-for-cbi-championship-game\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/2022\/03\/27\/betting-preview-for-cbi-championship-game\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/2022\/03\/27\/betting-preview-for-cbi-championship-game\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Trends","item":"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/category\/trends\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"name":"Betting preview for CBI Championship game"}]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/#\/schema\/person\/5eb9492fbc67154812b39589e826b6e4","name":"megahed","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","@id":"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/#personlogo","inLanguage":"en-US","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/0ee3294b28670178246ce92a6679bf959bc435d2fcd9cb9ab078702487c106df?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/0ee3294b28670178246ce92a6679bf959bc435d2fcd9cb9ab078702487c106df?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"megahed"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news"]}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16886","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16886"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16886\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/16887"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16886"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16886"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tahrir2day.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16886"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}